Cheer
loudly and celebrate for three days! Believe it or not, Greece really issued
its government bonds for the first time in three years. The fact that Greece,
burdened with bankruptcy, has returned back to the financial markets has been
giving strength to the European stocks past hours and days.
However, from my point of view, there is not much to celebrate. Issuing of
five-year Greek bond in the volume of three billion euros with a yield of 4.625
% is still expensive. The Czech government bonds with more than
twice longer 10-year to maturity are carrying a yield under 1 %. But Greece
together with the entire Europe is despite that rejoicing that Greek bankruptcy
is forgotten.
I don’t want to be a bad prophet but I think that it is not
definite. Greece is still relying on foreign help. We could have read a couple
of weeks ago that Greece can draw another part of the loan from the third
rescue programme in the sum of 8.5 billion EUR. All of that while considering
that the Greek government debt is still making fewer than 180 % GDP. On top of
that, its size hasn’t been dropping past years but is roughly stagnating.
The European central bank might start limiting the buyout of the
government bonds already in autumn. That means that it is going to partly leave
the line on buying the debts of individual countries. And that is going to mean
that the yields of the government bonds of the European countries are going to
go gradually upwards sooner or later. And if the yields in countries such as the
Netherlands or France are going to grow then the yields of Greek government
bonds can be rising twice as fast.
As a Europe, we are going to worry again...
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